Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico
The southeast of Mexico is the region with the greatest wealth of tree species in the country and potentially vulnerable to the effects of the future climate, therefore, the objective of this work was to relate the species richness and its modification to a climate change scenario in the southeast o...
Autori principali: | , , , , , |
---|---|
Natura: | Online |
Lingua: | spa |
Pubblicazione: |
Instituto de Ecología, A.C.
2021
|
Accesso online: | https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/2124 |
_version_ | 1799769407125192704 |
---|---|
author | Santillán-Fernández, Alberto Escobar-Castillo, Judith Ireta-Paredes, Arely del Rocío Espinosa-Grande, Ezequiel Bautista-Ortega, Jaime Chávez-Vergara, Bruno Manuel |
author_facet | Santillán-Fernández, Alberto Escobar-Castillo, Judith Ireta-Paredes, Arely del Rocío Espinosa-Grande, Ezequiel Bautista-Ortega, Jaime Chávez-Vergara, Bruno Manuel |
author_sort | Santillán-Fernández, Alberto |
collection | MYB |
description | The southeast of Mexico is the region with the greatest wealth of tree species in the country and potentially vulnerable to the effects of the future climate, therefore, the objective of this work was to relate the species richness and its modification to a climate change scenario in the southeast of Mexico. To this end, the current potential distribution and climate change of 760 tree species were modeled using MaxEnt. Currently, the temperature negatively increases the potential distribution of the species. Climate change models by 2050 suggest an increase in temperature, whereby tree cover will be reduced; in the case of species that coexist in the rainforest, they would be concentrated in the center of the region, while for temperate forest species, a reduction > 95% of the current area is forecast. However, it was observed that the areas where a greater number of species coexist tend to develop a smaller contraction of their range in the face of future climatic variations. |
format | Online |
id | oai:oai.myb.ojs.inecol.mx:article-2124 |
institution | Madera y Bosques |
language | spa |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Instituto de Ecología, A.C. |
record_format | ojs |
spelling | oai:oai.myb.ojs.inecol.mx:article-21242022-11-29T22:18:51Z Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico Relación entre la riqueza de especies arbóreas y el cambio climático en el sureste de México Santillán-Fernández, Alberto Escobar-Castillo, Judith Ireta-Paredes, Arely del Rocío Espinosa-Grande, Ezequiel Bautista-Ortega, Jaime Chávez-Vergara, Bruno Manuel Bosque Campeche Chiapas MaxEnt Selva Yucatán forest Campeche Chiapas MaxEnt rainforest Yucatan The southeast of Mexico is the region with the greatest wealth of tree species in the country and potentially vulnerable to the effects of the future climate, therefore, the objective of this work was to relate the species richness and its modification to a climate change scenario in the southeast of Mexico. To this end, the current potential distribution and climate change of 760 tree species were modeled using MaxEnt. Currently, the temperature negatively increases the potential distribution of the species. Climate change models by 2050 suggest an increase in temperature, whereby tree cover will be reduced; in the case of species that coexist in the rainforest, they would be concentrated in the center of the region, while for temperate forest species, a reduction > 95% of the current area is forecast. However, it was observed that the areas where a greater number of species coexist tend to develop a smaller contraction of their range in the face of future climatic variations. El sureste de México es la región con la mayor riqueza de especies arbóreas en el país y potencialmente vulnerable a los efectos del clima futuro, por lo cual el objetivo de este trabajo fue relacionar la riqueza de especies y su modificación ante un escenario de cambio climático en el sureste de México. Para este fin se modeló, mediante MaxEnt, la distribución potencial actual y ante el cambio climático de 760 especies arbóreas. Actualmente, el incremento de temperatura puede afectar negativamente la distribución potencial de las especies. Los modelos de cambio climático para 2050 sugieren un incremento en la temperatura, ante lo cual la cobertura arbórea se reducirá; en el caso de las especies que coexisten en selva tropical, se concentrarían en el centro de la región, mientras que, para las especies de bosque templado, se pronostica una reducción mayor a 95% del área actual. Sin embargo, se observó que las áreas donde coexiste un mayor número de especies tienden a desarrollar una menor contracción de su área de distribución ante las variaciones climáticas futuras. Instituto de Ecología, A.C. 2021-12-23 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Artículo evaluado por pares application/pdf text/xml https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/2124 10.21829/myb.2021.2732124 Madera y Bosques; Vol. 27 No. 3 (2021): Autumn 2021 Madera y Bosques; Vol. 27 Núm. 3 (2021): Otoño 2021 2448-7597 1405-0471 spa https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/2124/2304 https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/2124/2350 10.21829/myb.2018.243512 10.21829/myb.2019.251621 Derechos de autor 2021 Madera y Bosques http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 |
spellingShingle | Santillán-Fernández, Alberto Escobar-Castillo, Judith Ireta-Paredes, Arely del Rocío Espinosa-Grande, Ezequiel Bautista-Ortega, Jaime Chávez-Vergara, Bruno Manuel Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico |
title | Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico |
title_full | Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico |
title_fullStr | Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico |
title_full_unstemmed | Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico |
title_short | Relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern Mexico |
title_sort | relationship between tree species richness and climate change in southeastern mexico |
url | https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/2124 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT santillanfernandezalberto relationshipbetweentreespeciesrichnessandclimatechangeinsoutheasternmexico AT escobarcastillojudith relationshipbetweentreespeciesrichnessandclimatechangeinsoutheasternmexico AT iretaparedesarelydelrocio relationshipbetweentreespeciesrichnessandclimatechangeinsoutheasternmexico AT espinosagrandeezequiel relationshipbetweentreespeciesrichnessandclimatechangeinsoutheasternmexico AT bautistaortegajaime relationshipbetweentreespeciesrichnessandclimatechangeinsoutheasternmexico AT chavezvergarabrunomanuel relationshipbetweentreespeciesrichnessandclimatechangeinsoutheasternmexico AT santillanfernandezalberto relacionentrelariquezadeespeciesarboreasyelcambioclimaticoenelsurestedemexico AT escobarcastillojudith relacionentrelariquezadeespeciesarboreasyelcambioclimaticoenelsurestedemexico AT iretaparedesarelydelrocio relacionentrelariquezadeespeciesarboreasyelcambioclimaticoenelsurestedemexico AT espinosagrandeezequiel relacionentrelariquezadeespeciesarboreasyelcambioclimaticoenelsurestedemexico AT bautistaortegajaime relacionentrelariquezadeespeciesarboreasyelcambioclimaticoenelsurestedemexico AT chavezvergarabrunomanuel relacionentrelariquezadeespeciesarboreasyelcambioclimaticoenelsurestedemexico |