Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions

In the State of Chiapas, where emissions from the LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry) and Agricultural (including livestock) sectors cover 78% of total emissions, it is necessary to propose mitigation activities in the rural sector (in particular the reduction of emissions from deforesta...

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Hoofdauteurs: Covaleda, Sara, Paz-Pellat, Fernando, Ranero, Alejandro
Formaat: Online
Taal:spa
Gepubliceerd in: Instituto de Ecología, A.C. 2018
Online toegang:https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/e2401897
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author Covaleda, Sara
Paz-Pellat, Fernando
Ranero, Alejandro
author_facet Covaleda, Sara
Paz-Pellat, Fernando
Ranero, Alejandro
author_sort Covaleda, Sara
collection MYB
description In the State of Chiapas, where emissions from the LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry) and Agricultural (including livestock) sectors cover 78% of total emissions, it is necessary to propose mitigation activities in the rural sector (in particular the reduction of emissions from deforestation and forest degradation). In this work, abatement cost curves and mitigation scenarios for Chiapas were generated using state and transition models prepared for eight regions of the state. These models allow us to know the impacts associated with the transition between an initial state (land use or vegetation type) and a final one in terms of carbon and socio-economic factors. The restrictions considered were: positive and negative opportunity costs, subsidy, credit and interest rate. The state has great potential to mitigate emissions in the rural sector, particularly the Selva Maya and Altos regions. The analysis of different scenarios shows that an opportunity cost for USD 4/t CO2 – USD 6/t CO2 is enough for a good portion of the GHG mitigation potential of Chiapas. The subsidy and credit for the implementation activities affects the mitigation potential for certain ranges of opportunity costs, also, the activities with negative opportunity costs are an opportunity area to mitigate emissions reorienting public policies. To improve the analysis capacity of the models it is necessary to encourage research on activities related to forest degradation, sustainable forest management and increase of forest and agricultural carbon stores.
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spelling oai:oai.myb.ojs.inecol.mx:article-18972022-11-29T22:57:15Z Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions Escenarios de mitigación de emisiones para el sector rural del Estado de Chiapas utilizando modelos de estados y transiciones Covaleda, Sara Paz-Pellat, Fernando Ranero, Alejandro opportunity costs abatement curves REDD agricultural sector costos de oportunidad curvas de abatimiento unitarias REDD sector agropecuario In the State of Chiapas, where emissions from the LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry) and Agricultural (including livestock) sectors cover 78% of total emissions, it is necessary to propose mitigation activities in the rural sector (in particular the reduction of emissions from deforestation and forest degradation). In this work, abatement cost curves and mitigation scenarios for Chiapas were generated using state and transition models prepared for eight regions of the state. These models allow us to know the impacts associated with the transition between an initial state (land use or vegetation type) and a final one in terms of carbon and socio-economic factors. The restrictions considered were: positive and negative opportunity costs, subsidy, credit and interest rate. The state has great potential to mitigate emissions in the rural sector, particularly the Selva Maya and Altos regions. The analysis of different scenarios shows that an opportunity cost for USD 4/t CO2 – USD 6/t CO2 is enough for a good portion of the GHG mitigation potential of Chiapas. The subsidy and credit for the implementation activities affects the mitigation potential for certain ranges of opportunity costs, also, the activities with negative opportunity costs are an opportunity area to mitigate emissions reorienting public policies. To improve the analysis capacity of the models it is necessary to encourage research on activities related to forest degradation, sustainable forest management and increase of forest and agricultural carbon stores. En el estado de Chiapas, donde las emisiones de los sectores Uso del Suelo, Cambio de Uso del Suelo y Silvicultura [Uscusys] y Agrícola (incluida la ganadería) abarcan 78% de las emisiones totales, es necesario plantear actividades de mitigación en el sector rural (en particular, la reducción de emisiones por deforestación y degradación forestal). En este trabajo se generaron curvas de costos de abatimiento y escenarios de mitigación para Chiapas utilizando los modelos de estados y transiciones (METs) elaborados para ocho regiones del estado. Estos modelos permiten conocer los impactos asociados con la transición entre un estado (uso del suelo o tipo de vegetación) inicial y otro final en términos de carbono y factores socio-económicos. Las restricciones consideradas fueron: costos de oportunidad positivos y negativos, subsidio, crédito y tasa de interés. El estado presenta un gran potencial de mitigación de emisiones en el sector rural, en particular las regiones Selva Maya y Altos. El análisis de distintos escenarios muestra que un costo de oportunidad de USD 4/t CO2 a USD 6/t CO2 es suficiente para una buena porción del potencial de mitigación de gases de efecto invernadero de Chiapas. El contar con subsidio y crédito para las actividades de implementación afecta el potencial de mitigación para determinados intervalos de costos de oportunidad; asimismo, las actividades con costos de oportunidad negativos son un área de oportunidad para mitigar emisiones reorientando las políticas públicas. Para mejorar la capacidad de análisis de los modelos es necesario incentivar la investigación sobre actividades relacionadas con la degradación forestal, manejo forestal sostenible e incremento de almacenes de carbono forestales y agropecuarios. Instituto de Ecología, A.C. 2018-12-17 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/e2401897 10.21829/myb.2018.2401897 Madera y Bosques; Vol. 24 (2018): Special issue. Carbon in terrestrial ecosystems Madera y Bosques; Vol. 24 (2018): Número especial. Carbono en ecosistemas terrestres 2448-7597 1405-0471 spa https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/e2401897/1844 Derechos de autor 2018 Madera y Bosques
spellingShingle Covaleda, Sara
Paz-Pellat, Fernando
Ranero, Alejandro
Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions
title Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions
title_full Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions
title_fullStr Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions
title_full_unstemmed Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions
title_short Emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the State of Chiapas using state models and transitions
title_sort emission mitigation scenarios for the rural sector of the state of chiapas using state models and transitions
url https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/e2401897
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