Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico
The environmental services provide ecosystems depend on predominant climate conditions of local scales, as well as in the vegetation structure and composition. The main goal of the present study was to simulate and quantify the impacts that a possible climate change have affect on the hydrologic reg...
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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| Format: | Online |
| Sprache: | spa |
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Instituto de Ecología, A.C.
2016
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| Online Zugang: | https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/1188 |
| _version_ | 1799769223520583680 |
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| author | Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro Ismael Gómez-Díaz, Jesús David Tinoco-Rueda, Juan Ángel |
| author_facet | Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro Ismael Gómez-Díaz, Jesús David Tinoco-Rueda, Juan Ángel |
| author_sort | Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro Ismael |
| collection | MYB |
| description | The environmental services provide ecosystems depend on predominant climate conditions of local scales, as well as in the vegetation structure and composition. The main goal of the present study was to simulate and quantify the impacts that a possible climate change have affect on the hydrologic regulation and on the water infiltration capacity in the National Park “El Chico”, Hidalgo. It was modeled the geographic distribution of climatic variables like temperature and precipitation, taking as baseline scenario the period of 1961-1990. It were applied the North American and English climate change models for the scenarios A2 and the years 2020 and 2050. The water balance was estimated according to the Thornthwaite modified or third version in order, to evaluate the hydrologic behavior and the infiltration capacity in different scenarios. The main results obtained by followins the english model show a decrease in aquifer recharge in 26% and 32% for 2020 and 2050, respectively. The North American model considers an increase in the infiltration rate of 6% and 22% for the 2020 and 2050, respectively. The growing period did not show significant variations in the studied scenarios. The English model pointed out more drastic conditions, because of it that must be considered to plan adoptive and mitigation measures to prevent park deterioration and it can continue providing environmental services deterioration that climate change put in risk. |
| format | Online |
| id | oai:oai.myb.ojs.inecol.mx:article-1188 |
| institution | Madera y Bosques |
| language | spa |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publisher | Instituto de Ecología, A.C. |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | oai:oai.myb.ojs.inecol.mx:article-11882022-11-30T00:24:23Z Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico Servicios ambientales hidrológicos bajo escenarios de cambio climático en el Parque Nacional “El Chico”, Hidalgo Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro Ismael Gómez-Díaz, Jesús David Tinoco-Rueda, Juan Ángel Climate change runoff Hidalgo State infiltration environmental services Cambio climático escurrimiento estado de Hidalgo infiltración servicios ambientales The environmental services provide ecosystems depend on predominant climate conditions of local scales, as well as in the vegetation structure and composition. The main goal of the present study was to simulate and quantify the impacts that a possible climate change have affect on the hydrologic regulation and on the water infiltration capacity in the National Park “El Chico”, Hidalgo. It was modeled the geographic distribution of climatic variables like temperature and precipitation, taking as baseline scenario the period of 1961-1990. It were applied the North American and English climate change models for the scenarios A2 and the years 2020 and 2050. The water balance was estimated according to the Thornthwaite modified or third version in order, to evaluate the hydrologic behavior and the infiltration capacity in different scenarios. The main results obtained by followins the english model show a decrease in aquifer recharge in 26% and 32% for 2020 and 2050, respectively. The North American model considers an increase in the infiltration rate of 6% and 22% for the 2020 and 2050, respectively. The growing period did not show significant variations in the studied scenarios. The English model pointed out more drastic conditions, because of it that must be considered to plan adoptive and mitigation measures to prevent park deterioration and it can continue providing environmental services deterioration that climate change put in risk. Los servicios ambientales que proveen los ecosistemas están en función, entre otros aspectos, de las condiciones climáticas predominantes en un determinado lugar, así como de la estructura y composición de los tipos de vegetación. Por lo anterior, el principal objetivo del presente estudio fue simular y cuantificar los impactos que un posible cambio climático puede ejercer sobre la regulación hídrica y la capacidad de recarga de acuíferos en el Parque Nacional “El Chico”, Hidalgo. Se realizó la modelación de la distribución geográfica de las variables temperatura y precipitación tomando como periodo base 1961-1990 y se aplicaron las razones de cambio obtenidas de los modelos de cambio climático norteamericano e inglés para el escenario A2 y los años 2020 y 2050. El comportamiento hídrico y la capacidad de infiltración en los diferentes escenarios se evaluaron a partir del balance de humedad obtenido con la metodología de Thornthwaite III modificado. Los resultados muestran una disminución en la recarga al acuífero aplicando el modelo inglés en 26% y 32% para los periodos 2020 y 2050, respectivamente. El modelo norteamericano estima un aumento en la infiltración de 6% y 22% para el 2020 y 2050, respectivamente. El periodo de crecimiento no presenta variaciones significativas en los escenarios estudiados. El modelo ingles prevé condiciones más drásticas, por lo cual debe de considerarse para fines de planear medidas de adaptación y mitigación, a fin de que se impida el deterioro del parque y que éste continúe otorgando servicios ambientales amenazados por el cambio climático. Instituto de Ecología, A.C. 2016-08-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Artículo evaluado por pares application/pdf https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/1188 10.21829/myb.2009.1521188 Madera y Bosques; Vol. 15 No. 2 (2009): Otoño 2009; 5-26 Madera y Bosques; Vol. 15 Núm. 2 (2009): Otoño 2009; 5-26 2448-7597 1405-0471 spa https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/1188/1367 Derechos de autor 2016 Madera y Bosques |
| spellingShingle | Monterroso-Rivas, Alejandro Ismael Gómez-Díaz, Jesús David Tinoco-Rueda, Juan Ángel Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico |
| title | Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico |
| title_full | Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico |
| title_fullStr | Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico |
| title_full_unstemmed | Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico |
| title_short | Hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “El Chico” National Park, Hidalgo, Mexico |
| title_sort | hydrologic environmental services under climate change scenarios in the “el chico” national park, hidalgo, mexico |
| url | https://myb.ojs.inecol.mx/index.php/myb/article/view/1188 |
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